GAF - Global Agribusiness Forum

GAF18: brazilian grain harvest is expected to grow 30% in the next ten years

Brazil is expected to produce 302 million tons of grain by 2027/28, a 30% increase over the 2017/18 season result. Blairo Maggi, Minister of Agriculture, Livestock and Food Supply (MPLS), said Monday, during the Global Agribusiness Forum 2018, in São Paulo (SP).


In the case of meat, production is expected to reach 35 million tons, an increase of 27% over the current result. According to the minister, grain exports are expected to jump from 102 million tons in 2017/18 for 139 million tonnes in 2027/28.

In addition, according to Maggi, shipments of meat are expected to grow from 6.5 million tons in 2017/18 to 8.8 million at the end of the next ten years. "In 2027/28, we want Brazil to have a 10% stake of world agricultural trade. "

Commercial war

At a news conference, the minister also warned that the trade war between China and the United States is negative for Brazilian agribusiness, because it significantly alters trade flows and impacts the prices of agricultural commodities, generating volatility in prices. "Besides, of course, that any protectionist measure is bad for the free market," he said.

Maggi said the government is working to lift the embargoes on Brazilian meat in Russia [beef and pork], China and the European Union [chicken]. "The expectation is that we have news at the BRIC meeting."

Regarding the front table, the minister said that there is risk for the next harvest of grains, due to possible problems of delivery of fertilizers, as well as increase in transport prices.

Finally, Maggi also pointed out that the bill that aims to change the law of the defensive is intended to modernize the legislation, making the Brazilian agribusiness have access to more modern products from the agronomic and security point of view. people, animals and the environment.